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No, AI is not Making Engineers 10x as Productive

Claims of 10–100x dev speed from AI tools skip the hard parts—code reviews, bug queues, flaky tests. In practice, AI helps with the small stuff: one-off scripts, throwaway glue code, basic scaffolds. But scaling that help across big, messy codebases? Still a pipe dream. Too much context lost. Too many hallucinations. Too many things that break.


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